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Junior Member
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來看看以前其它傳染病，要不要關閉邊界的討論。
Ebola
https://www.newscientist.com/articl...ebolas-rampage/
引用:
Border closure
So if neither exit nor entry screening works, why not simply stop anyone leaving the countries while we get the epidemic under control?
The first reason is that travel bans are unlikely to be very effective. Steep reductions in flights after the 9/11 bombings only delayed the subsequent flu season, and closing borders to the HIV-positive in the 1980s did not slow the HIV pandemic.
In both cases, that was because people carrying the infection still managed to get through, and that is likely now. “It’s simply not feasible to build a wall – virtual or real – around a city or a country,” Tom Frieden, head of the US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta, Georgia, said last week. People stopped from flying out of the three affected countries will find other ways to travel.
Moreover, a travel ban would further reduce commercial flights to the region. This could discourage badly needed foreign healthcare workers from volunteering, as with no military airlift planned, they need commercial flights to get home.
Finally, a flight ban could make the epidemic much worse, by hastening economic and social collapse in the affected countries, says Thomas Homer-Dixon of the University of Waterloo, Canada, who studies social resilience.
This would be catastrophic, preventing any further organised effort to fight the infection. Moreover, a collapse in food distribution or public safety could send a flood of refugees across land borders, carrying Ebola to nearby, impoverished countries.
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Google 翻譯
引用:
邊境關閉
因此，如果既不能進行出入境檢查又不能進行入網篩查，那為什麼不在我們控制流行病的同時簡單地阻止任何人離開這些國家呢？
第一個原因是旅行禁令不太可能非常有效。 9/11炸彈爆炸後航班數量的急劇減少僅延遲了隨後的流感季節，並且在1980年代關閉了與HIV呈陽性的邊境，並沒有減緩HIV的大流行。
在這兩種情況下，這都是因為攜帶感染的人仍然設法通過，現在很可能。佐治亞州亞特蘭大市美國疾病控制和預防中心主任湯姆·弗里登（Tom Frieden）上週表示：“在城市或國家/地區周圍建立虛擬或真實的隔離牆根本不可行。”從三個受影響的國家飛出的人們停下來了，他們將找到其他旅行方式。
此外，旅行禁令將進一步減少飛往該地區的商業航班。這可能會使急需的外國醫療保健工作者不願參加志願活動，因為沒有計劃進行軍事空運，他們需要商業航班才能回家。
加拿大滑鐵盧大學（University of Waterloo）的托馬斯·霍默·迪克森（Thomas Homer-Dixon）研究社會抗災力，最後，禁飛令可能會加劇受災國家的經濟和社會崩潰，使疫情進一步惡化。
這將是災難性的，阻止任何進一步的有組織的努力來抵抗感染。此外，糧食分配或公共安全的崩潰可能導致大量難民越過陸地邊界，將埃博拉病毒帶到附近的貧困國家。
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