引用:
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作者kazama
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_World_Baseball_Classic
In Round 1, ties shall be broken in the following order of priority:
1. The winner of head-to-head games between the tied teams;
2. The team with the highest Team's Quality Balance (TQB=(RS/IPO)-(RA/IPD)) in head-to-head games between the tied teams;
3. The team with the highest Earned Runs Team's Quality Balance (ER-TQB=(ERS/IPO)-(ERA/IPD)) in head-to-head games between the tied teams;
4. The team with the highest batting average (AVG) in head-to-head games between the tied teams;
5. Drawing of lots, conducted by WBCI.
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感謝kazama兄提供的規則是正確的，依照Team's Quality Balance (TQB=(RS/IPO)-(RA/IPD)) in head-to-head games between the tied teams的定義(IPO is innings played on offense, IPD, on defense):
即三隊戰績相同時，我們要計算的是每局得分減去每局失分(即每局勝分)，所得數最高者前二名晉級。
目前計算如下:
荷蘭: 對韓少攻九下一局，對中華少守九下一局。
8/17 - 8/17 = 0
韓國: 對荷九局下少守一局
0/9 - 5/8 = - 0.625
中華:對荷九局下少攻一局
8/8 - 3/9 = 0.667
所以說中華目前最佔優勢，只攻了八局得了八分，九局掉三分;韓國最慘，八局就掉五分，而且沒得分。吾人只要計算最差的韓國勝中華後，如何能追上我們即可。韓國對中華後攻，因此只會攻八局，亦即韓國勝中華五分就淘汰中華了(因為勝分均為零，但韓國的責失較少)，勝四分以內中、荷晉級。