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作者橘英雄
Assessing Wang’s 2009 future
我就跟大家說說我對這篇文章感想，這位作者非常厲害的，他這麼關心小王
他5月份呀就發表了有關小王的十篇文章，但是一個這麼關心他的人，明明知道
復健的成績對小王有多重要吧？那也會說說他在延長春訓跟小聯盟復健的成績吧？
不錯呀！那十篇他有沒有講？....5月3號那篇有啦，說啥說他投了52球33個好球啦！
真是大好人！這麼的關心小王！感謝您！剩下我眼睛可能托窗啦！都沒看到捏！
Assessing Wang’s 2009 future我別要講這篇呀，他講了！
他說小王呀！6.00ERA 2.33WHIP，看得還真仔細，數據全部說出來，
他還補了兩句
By the time Wang entered the game in the 7th inning, the Yanks were nearing their first loss in nine games.
In three innings of work, he allowed seven baserunners and two earned runs.
我想不需要翻譯給大家聽了吧！
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你英文的確不怎麼好。請問你是用哪一個眼睛看到5/23號那場數據比2008平均還要好
Game///////////////////////2008////////////2009//////////Tonight(5/23)
Avg. Velocity///////////////91.8////////////90.7////////////92.5
Max. Velocity///////////////95~////////////93~////////////95
Horiz. Movement (in.)//////11/////////////9.3/////////////10
Vert. Movement (in.)///////4.9/////////////5.7/////////////6.8
平均速度比較快是因為他投的球數少，所以平均自然會比較快，橫向movement有進步但是還是比去年少，11 比 10 大 =_=。垂直movement 是數據越小球越會往下掉的，4.9也比6.8小=_=。The lower the value of the vertical movement, the more the ball is "sinking." Curveballs, which have a sharp downward break, are in the negatives.
接下來，我們都知道王建民是靠滾地球吃飯的，所以他就找個去年幾場滾地球量很高的比賽。
5月2號 2008
the M's had 10 groundballs versus only 2 flyballs. In that game, Wang had 14.5 inches of horizontal movement, which is just fantastic, and 4.5 inches of vertical movement, which is also great.
Vert. Movement (in.) 4.5
Horiz. Movement (in.) 14.5
Opening day 2008
16 GO VS 3 FO
Vert. Movement (in.) 4.5
Horiz. Movement (in.) 13
So it would seem that it's the vertical movement that's causing him problems.
所以看起來是因為直向movement才會造成王建民現在的問題。但是2009爆的兩場，他的直向movement卻是 5 inches and 3.5 inches，但是照樣被打爆。所以可見問題不只如此。
所以接下就是看球的進壘點。(location graphs)
這是禮拜五中繼那場。
http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfx/l...=700&v_size=500
2008開幕戰
http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfx/l...=700&v_size=500
The Friday start isn't nearly as down in the zone. 而今年先發那兩場卻是更慘。
所以結論是
Wang isn't keeping the ball down this year nearly as well as he did in 2008. While his ball is sinking, it's not being thrown down in the zone enough to be effective.
王建民今年的球跟2008比起來都偏高，就算sinker有下沉也不能放在strikezone的下面。
這個其實有看球賽都可以注意到的。
再來看王建民的放球點。
Wang's release point in 2008 was lower than it currently is. As you can see, his stay on the DL has done nothing to change that--it is still higher than it was in two of his most dominant starts of 2008. And this is no small difference either--there's about a foot difference between them.
08年的放球點還是比現在低，去了DL也沒修好，而且差別有一英呎之多。放球點高，進壘點自然也高。
再講回我之前貼的
"Wang seemed stunned. He said the issue was where he released the ball, which was off to the side instead of over the top. A sinkerball pitcher wants to stand tall on the mound and throw the ball on a downward plane. Otherwise the ball floats over the strike zone and you see what happens." Despite having success in 2008 with a lower release point than he had in the early stages in 2009, he wanted to raise his release point even more.
08年放球點低的時候王建民狀況就好，但是今年他一直想要升高他，這就是奇怪的地方。
搞不懂人家在表達什麼，就不要亂叫，那才叫廢話。
很明顯原本的問題沒有改好，而且教練團也沒發現，再放上場去，成績也不會多好。
沒有人希望王建民不好，但是要找出他不好的原因，而不是盲目相信一切都會變好。所以才有很多人在用各種數據比較來找出問題在哪裡。Hughes明年Petitte退休自然會上來，也不差今年跟王建民搶位子，等王建民狀況好了，Hughes自然就下去