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dellasus865pe 2010-02-21 08:45 PM

消息指GTX 480 快 Radeon HD 5870 5%
 
NVIDIA HAS BEEN hinting about the performance of its upcoming GTX480 cards, and several of our moles got a lot of hands on time with a few cards recently. If you are waiting for killer results from the 'puppy', prepare for severe disappointment.

The short story about the woefully delayed GTX480, and it's little sibling the GTX470 is that it is far slower than Nvidia has been hinting at, and there is a lot of work yet to be done before it is salable. Our sources have a bit of conflicting data, but the vast majority of the numbers line up between them.

Small numbers of final cards have started to trickle in to Nvidia, and it is only showing them to people it considers very friendly for reasons that we will make clear in a bit. Because of the small circle of people who have access to the data we are going to blur a few data points to protect our sources. That said, on with the show.

There are two cards, the GTX480 having the full complement of 512 shaders, and the GTX470 with only 448, which is 64 less for the math impaired.The clocks for the 480 are either 600MHz or 625MHz for the low or half clock, and double that, 1200MHz or 1250MHz for the high or hot clock. Nvidia was aiming for 750/1500MHz last spring, so this is a huge miss. This speed is the first point the sources conflict on, and it could go either way, since both sources were adamant about theirs being the correct final clock. *sigh*.

On the GTX470 side, there are 448 shaders, and the clocks are set at 625MHz and 1250MHz in both cases. If the GTX480 is really at 600Mhz and 1200MHz, and the GTX470 is slightly faster, it should really make you wonder about the thermals of the chip. Remember when we said that the GF100 GTX480 chip was having problems with transistors at minimal voltages? Basically Nvidia has to crank the voltages beyond what it wanted to keep borderline transistors from flaking out. The problem is that this creates heat, and a lot of it. Both of our sources said that their cards were smoking hot. One said they measured it at 70C at idle on the 2D clock.

The fans were reported to be running at 70 percent of maximum when idling, a number that is far, far too high for normal use. Lets hope that this is just a BIOS tweaking issue, and the fans don't need to be run that fast. It would mean GF100 basically can't downvolt at all on idle. On the upside, if it's any comfort, the noise from the fans at that speed was said to be noticeable, but not annoying.

If you are wondering why Nvidia made such a big deal about GF100 GTX480 certified cases, well, now you know. Remember, higher temperatures mean more leakage, which means more heat, and then the magic smoke that makes transistors work gets let out in a thermal runaway. You simply have to keep this beast cool all the time.

While this backs up many of the theories on how Nvidia lost so much clock speed, it isn't conclusive. The take home message is that this chip has some very serious thermal problems, and Nvidia is in a box when it comes to what it can do to mitigate the problem.

Now that you know the raw clocks, how does it perform? It is a mixed bag, but basically the cards are much below Nvidia's original expectations publicly stated as 60 percent faster than Cypress. The numbers that SemiAccurate were told span a variety of current games, all running at very high resolutions. Here is where we can't list specifics or the Nvidia Keystone Kops might find their first SemiAccurate mole. We will bring you the full spreadsheets when the cards are more widespread.

The GTX480 with 512 shaders running at full speed, 600Mhz or 625MHz depending on which source, ran on average 5 percent faster than a Cypress HD5870, plus or minus a little bit. The sources were not allowed to test the GTX470, which is likely an admission that it will be slower than the Cypress HD5870.

There is one bright spot, and it is a very bright spot indeed. No, not the thermal cap of the chip, but the tessellation performance in Heaven. On that synthetic benchmark, the numbers were more than twice as fast as the Cypress HD5870, and will likely beat a dual chip Hemlock HD5970. The sources said that this lead was most definitely not reflected in any game or test they ran, it was only in tessellation limited situations where the shaders don't need to be used for 'real work'.

The GF100 GTX480 was not meant to be a GPU, it was a GPGPU chip pulled into service for graphics when the other plans at Nvidia failed. It is far too math DP FP heavy to be a good graphics chip, but roping shaders into doing tessellation is the one place where there is synergy. This is the only place where the GTX480 stood out from a HD5870. The benchmarks that Nvidia showed off at CES were hand-picked for good reason. They were the only ones that Nvidia could show a win on, something it really needs to capture sales for this card and its derivatives, if any.

There was one problem that the sources pointed to, on Heaven, which was that the benchmark had many visible and quite noticeable glitches. If you were wondering why Nvidia only showed very specific clips of it at CES, that is why. DX11 isn't quite all there yet for the GTX480. This is probably why we have been hearing rumors of the card not having DX11 drivers on launch, but we can't see Nvidia launching the chip without them.

Getting back to the selective showings of the GTX480, there is a good reason for it. The performance is too close to the HD5870, so Nvidia will be forced to sell it at HD5870 prices, basically $400. The GPU isn't a money maker at this price point, and at best, Nvidia can price it between the $400 HD5870 and the $600 HD5970. The only tools left to deal with this issue are PR and marketing as the chip is currently in production.

If potential buyers get a wide range of benchmarks and correct specs, the conclusion will likely be that the GTX480 equals the HD5870 in performance. There will be no reviews based upon cards purchased in the wild for months. The way Nvidia has dealt with this in the past has been to control who gets access to cards and to hand pick the ones sent out.

If you give the GTX480 to honest journalists, they will likely say that the two cards, the GTX480 and the HD5870, show equivalent performance, so we hear Nvidia is doing its best to keep the GTX480 out of the hands of the honest. This means that only journalists who are known to follow the "reviewer's guide" closely, are willing to downplay the negatives, and will hit the important bullet points provided by Nvidia PR will be the ones most likely to gain early access to these cards. If this sounds unethical to you, it is, and it's not the first time. This is exactly what Nvidia did to cut Anand, Kyle and several others out of the GTS250 at launch. That worked out so well the last time that Nvidia will probably try it again. Expect fireworks when some people realize that they have been cut out for telling the truth.

The end result is that the GTX480 is simply not fast enough to deliver a resounding win in anything but the most contrived benchmark scenarios. It is well within range of a mildly upclocked HD5870, which is something that ATI can do pretty much on a whim. The GTX480 can barely beat the second fastest ATI card, and it doesn't have a chance at the top.

GTX480 is too hot, too big, too slow, and lacks anything that would recommend it over a HD5870, much less the vastly faster HD5970. Nvidia is said to be producing only 5,000 to 8,000 of these cards, and it will lose money on each one. The architecture is wrong, and that is unfixable. The physical design is broken, and that is not fixable in any time frame that matters. When you don't have anything to show, spin. Nvidia is spinning faster than it ever has before.


http://www.semiaccurate.com/2010/02...-gtx480-scores/


先只放一半可信度,畢竟這家媒體可信度不太高.但GTX400只有這樣的能耐可是完全不樂觀.比GF 5000系列還糟XD

walkunder 2010-02-21 08:58 PM

這一半的可信度聽起來真是不太樂觀......

架構錯了,硬體設計也爛,然後沒有足夠的時間可以修正。之前已經
因為GPU用料錯誤,賠了一褲子,這次又產品發展策略錯誤,NV不會
就這樣倒掉了吧?我只用過你們一張卡而己啊!NV倒了真不是什麼好
事,但是被Intel買走就更糟。還是AMD出手,做個AMD-ATi-NV來
跟Intel抗衡一下吧!

他們那個市務總監是因為一直放話放慣了,才會脫回而出"我外套內
有炸彈"的嗎?

dellasus865pe 2010-02-21 09:12 PM

引用:
作者walkunder
這一半的可信度聽起來真是不太樂觀......

架構錯了,硬體設計也爛,然後沒有足夠的時間可以修正。之前已經
因為GPU用料錯誤,賠了一褲子,這次又產品發展策略錯誤,NV不會
就這樣倒掉了吧?我只用過你們一張卡而己啊!NV倒了真不是什麼好
事,但是被Intel買走就更糟。還是AMD出手,做個AMD-ATi-NV來
跟Intel抗衡一下吧!

他們那個市務總監是因為一直放話放慣了,才會脫回而出"我外套內
有炸彈"的嗎?



ATI 從X800開始衰到HD3000才有抗擊NV 的能力
X800 不支援DX9.0C,Fail
X1800 遲半年才出,Fail
X1900算平手,但成本比NV 高,Orz
HD2900,遲很久效能也不出色,Fail

ATi 輸那麽多還不是走到現在XD
擔心NV???想太多了.

walkunder 2010-02-21 09:16 PM

引用:
作者dellasus865pe
ATI 從X800開始衰到HD3000才有抗擊NV 的能力
X800 不支援DX9.0C,Fail
X1800 遲半年才出,Fail
X1900算平手,但成本比NV 高,Orz
HD2900,遲很久效能也不出色,Fail

擔心NV???想太多了.


那就好了,不管誰輸誰贏,弄到有人要倒掉的話就不太妙。

怕他們之前賠錢,現在又賣一片賠一片的話,生意不知道要怎麼做
下去。

艾克萊爾 2010-02-21 09:17 PM

這是真的嗎~? :flash: :unbelief:


有請五樓的為我們解釋~ :laugh: :laugh: :laugh:

eegf 2010-02-21 09:32 PM

按照慣例等到開箱測試文出來之前這種消息聽一聽就算了 :unbelief:

dddada 2010-02-21 09:57 PM

過幾天
黃總又要出來消毒了 :cool:

chlang 2010-02-21 10:24 PM

商場真真假假... 假假真真.

說不定是希望 ATi 鬆懈所放出來的消息也說不定.

iorittn 2010-02-21 10:59 PM

引用:
作者dellasus865pe
ATi 輸那麽多還不是走到現在XD
擔心NV???想太多了.

ATI就是輸太大才被AMD買走.........
orz

moninca09 2010-02-21 11:21 PM

我還有印象是"看不見車尾燈"這段描述
我還是希望這可以成真


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